Labour’s support has plunged to just 21% in a new More in Common survey, dealing a heavy blow to Keir Starmer less than a month before the crucial local elections.
This marks the party’s lowest recorded support with the pollster, raising serious concerns about its ability to maintain momentum after last year’s landslide general election victory.
The poll, conducted in the wake of last week’s Spring Statement, shows that more than half of the public now back either the Conservative Party or Reform UK.
The survey results place the Tories at 26%, Reform UK close behind at 25%, and Labour trailing at 21%. Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats stand at 13%, with the Greens at 7%.
YOU MAY ALSO LIKE: Spring Statement: Is Rachel Reeves’ Speech An ‘Emergency Budget’ In Disguise?
Luke Tryl, UK director of More in Common, highlighted the significance of this trend, telling reporters: “Obviously, this is just one poll and likely captured voters at a particularly tricky point for Labour.
But the long-term trend seems unarguable. Labour have lost a third of the vote they won last July and far from resetting Labour’s fortunes, the Spring Statement seems to have worsened them.”
What This Means for the Upcoming Elections
With local elections set for May 1, these numbers indicate a challenging road ahead for the ruling party. While the divide between the Tories and Reform UK could have been an opportunity for Starmer’s party, Tryl warns that if the combined right-wing vote remains over 50%, it could still spell trouble.
🆕 Post spring statement @Moreincommon_ VI sees Labour fall to our lowest score for them at 21%. Tories at 26% lead Reform by 1.
🌳 CON 26% (+1)
➡️ REF UK 25% (+1)
🌹 LAB 21% (-3)
🔶 LIB DEM 13% (+1)
🌍 GREEN 7% (-3)
🟡 SNP 2% (-1)N =2,081 | Dates: 28 – 31/3 | Change w 24/3 pic.twitter.com/MaMCJNCKkW
— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) April 2, 2025
“The Tory-Reform split has the potential to benefit Labour, but if both right-wing parties can make significant gains, it might not ultimately matter,” he explained.
Kindly follow @surgezircuk on Instagram. On X (Twitter), follow @surgezircuk.
