President Trump is getting ready to be reelected as president for another four years with a one-point lead in the popular win, according to the final Democracy Institute poll for the Sunday Express.
The survey of possible voters by the US President’s favourite pollsters gives Trump 48 per cent lead against his Democratic rival Joe Biden on 47 per cent who all along has lead several polls with up to 5 per cent margin.
Biden lead dropping at the last days of the campaign is believed to be as a result of his son, Hunter Biden’s corrupt email allegations which was first published by the Post.
The last Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll saw President Trump lead with two-point lead and landed just after he went into the hospital with coronavirus.
Significantly, the President has, according to the latest findings, maintained a four-point lead of 49 per cent to 45 per cent in the key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
It means he is on course to easily win the electoral college by 326 to 212 votes against his Democrat rival in a result which would shock the world even more than his astonishing defeat of Hilary Clinton in 2016.
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll has throughout the campaign been one of the few to predict a Trump victory since March.
This is because unlike other polls it only looks at people identifying as likely voters instead of just registered to vote and it has tried to identify the shy Trump vote. The latest poll shows that almost eight in ten (79 per cent) of Trump supporters would not admit it to friends and family compared to 21 per cent of Biden supporters.
The Post hot publication which exposed Hunter Biden and his family’s corrupt business dealings with China and Ukraine while Joe was vice president of the United States seems to be hunting the Bidens now, with Twitter and Facebook trying very hard to cover the story in the Bidens favour, the story only got more popularity.
According to Express UK, when asked who they thought was telling the truth about the Biden family allegations, 57 per cent said it’s businessman and former Biden associate Tony Bobulinski who has levelled accusations against the former veepe, while, 52 per cent agreed that Mr Biden is “a corrupt politician”, then 21 per cent said they are less likely to vote for him and 75 per cent said it makes no difference. 54 per cent also agreed that the allegation made him a national security risk.
The US President’s job approval rating is now at 52 per cent which, according to the Democracy Institute director Patrick Basham, is now at “normal levels” to expect Trump to be reelected, while considering that after the Black Lives Matter protests, almost four in every ten black possible voters approve of Trump reelection and 21 per cent are ready to vote for him.
President Trump’s two major issues among voters are still ranked the most important, the “economy” and “law and order”, and both are at 29 per cent, when compared to coronavirus, where the President’s approval rating is relatively low, is fourth on 20 per cent as the most important issue.
The poll also found that 61 per cent think President Trump will be better for the US economy, while only 45 per cent approve of his handling of coronavirus with 49 per cent disapproving.
Democratic Biden comes third when asked about who has had the most positive impact on the criminal justice system with 14 per cent behind both President Trump and the celebrity Kim Kardashian both on 43 per cent.
Mr Basham said: “Our final Democracy Institute poll shows President Donald Trump, the Republican standard-bearer, holding a razor-thin one-point national lead over his Democratic rival, former Vice President Joe Biden. This is a statistical tie that falls firmly within the poll’s margin of error.
“The election will not be decided by the popular vote, of course; instead, it will be decided within the battleground states located primarily in the nation’s Midwest and Sunbelt regions. The Republican’s vote is a very efficient one, as it was in 2016. This is the president’s Trump card. Trump’s voters are more evenly dispersed across the country than are Biden’s.
“Biden’s comparatively inefficient vote is likely to mirror Hillary Clinton’s from four years ago. Biden will do incredibly well in the heavily populated states of California, Illinois, New Jersey, and New York.
“In these states, and in others reliably painted a deep Democratic blue, he will rack up enormous margins of victory over Trump, providing him with the potential to score a national popular vote victory, yet probably depriving him of sufficient votes in Iowa, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina, and Florida to turn Trump into a one-term president.”